Visit to Cúcuta, Colombia Refugee Center

Cucuta, Colombia

In May I made a trip with Fos Feminista to Cúcuta, Colombia recently to inspect the health services our partner organizations are providing to refugees from Venezuela. Fos partners with a variety of reproductive health and rights organizations and advocacy groups in Colombia (and worldwide) to bring the best in health care to vulnerable women and girls. These groups in turn partner with social service organizations to bring whatever services this population needs.

Cúcuta is the main border crossing from Venezuela – over 7 million refugees have left Venezuela and about a third have settled in Colombia, a country that has problems of its own before the refugee crisis. A river separates the two countries. The refugees often wade across it to avoid border guards. Armed conflict in Colombia continues despite the truce. Organized crime flourishes.

View of Cúcuta – the mountains in the distance are in Venezuela.

We visited the Funvecuc refugee center run by Aid for Aids. 

The kitchen prepared a lunch of spaghetti and beans. We saw about 100 migrants crowding in to get fed. The center does 250 meals a day. The food is donated by the government and NGOs. 

Several NGOs partner at this center and offer social and health services, including retrovirals for HIV, family planning and general medical care. The FF partner in Venezuela, PlaFam, does the family planning work and abortion referrals, even though the center is in Colombia – they use the name Mujeres por Mujeres (Women for Woman). The Colombia government does not provide health care for refugees.

The women often are the victims of sex trafficking on their arduous journey out of Venezuela, sometimes by border guards, army and police. Gender based violence is an omnipresent issue. 

One woman I spoke to was 17 with a 1 ½ year old baby. She had walked with her mother out of Venezuela and had no idea what the family would do next.

We then visited the Fundación Halü health center. This organization, another FF partner, offers holistic care as well as contraception for Venezuelan migrants. There were about 25 girls, age 14-18, waiting for counseling so that they could get a contraceptive implant. Many had traveled up to 4 hours from Venezuela and have a return trip of another 4 hours. It was a powerful statement of what girls with the determination not to get pregnant will endure.

comstock redux

Comstock Redux

By Alexander Sanger

May 21, 2023

I thought that my grandparents had killed off Anthony Comstock in 1915. Aiming at my grandmother, Comstock entrapped and arrested my grandfather, William Sanger, for distributing my grandmother’s birth control pamphlet, Family Limitation. Comstock testified at his trial at the infamously dank Tombs in September 1915. My grandfather was sentenced to 30 days in prison; Comstock caught a chill and died of pneumonia eleven days later. 

He didn’t die, though. His law lives on and like a zombie, is coming back from the undead to wreak havoc and destruction on women.

Some history first – excerpted from my book, Beyond Choice – and then some more recent thoughts. 

The birth control movement which my grandmother, Margaret Sanger, started in the early 20thcentury was a reaction to the 19th century pro-life movement that succeeded in reversing American and British law, which had permitted birth control and abortion, and in criminalizing them both almost entirely. The campaign to restrict reproductive freedom was not solely based on a respect for unborn life at its earliest stages. Rather it was a campaign founded upon the institutional imperatives of organized medicine, the Protestant reaction to Irish Catholic immigration, and the feminist and fundamentalist drive for social purity in sexual matters.

… 

         Even though men took the lead in advancing the medical, political and racial arguments for the criminalization of birth control and abortion, some women were also in favor of this legislation, as they were in favor of other “social purity” campaigns after the Civil War that sought to enact laws to restrict various immoral pursuits such as gambling, drinking and prostitution. In these campaigns the political odd bedfellows, the Know-Nothings and the regular physicians, were joined by some women’s rights activists. As Ellen Chesler, my grandmother’s biographer, described it: the native white Americans seeking to preserve their hegemony “were joined by religious fundamentalists, physicians looking to secure their status, and self-proclaimed feminists who believed they were promoting their own autonomy by regulating sexual behavior and by attacking pornography, alcohol and vice.” Into the vice category fell any expression of human sexuality other than between married couples for purposes of reproduction. 

         So, Anthony Comstock, an official of the YWCA who headed the New York Society for the Suppression of Vice, found ready allies in some feminist circles for his social purity campaign to prevent the dissemination through the U.S. mails of obscene materials, which he defined to include any information on human sexuality, reproduction, birth control and abortion. Every publication or article “designed, adapted, or intended for preventing conception or producing abortion, or for any indecent or immoral purpose” was banned. After Congress enacted the Comstock Laws in 1873 that banned sexuality, birth control and abortion information from the mails as contraband, individual states followed suit and criminalized the dissemination of contraceptive and abortion information and devices within their borders, though with some variations that permitted greater or lesser discretion to physicians. The result was that by the last quarter of the 19th century birth control and abortion had essentially been criminalized at both the state and federal levels. 

         The result was not that birth control and abortion were thereby eliminated from American society. Instead, they largely went underground. Some forms of birth control methods remained available but were sold under euphemistic titles. Abortion potions were sold as a tonic for “female problems”, diaphragms were “womb supports”, and condoms were called “rubber goods”. Andrea Tone in Devices and Desires: A History of Contraceptives in America states: “…legal leniency, entrepreneurial savvy, and cross class consumer support enabled the black market in birth control to thrive.” It is difficult to estimate how widely contraception and abortion were used, whether the poor were able to afford them or how safe and effective they were. We can surmise that almost everyone in American society had access to either birth control or abortion because the birth rate continued its century long decline even after both were criminalized. 

….

         There is evidence that Comstock was not an absolutist on abortion. He convinced the New York Legislature to enact Section 1142 of the New York Penal Law which reads as follows: 

A person who sells, lends, gives away, or in any manner exhibits or offers to sell, lend or give away, or has in his possession with intent to sell, lend or give away, or advertises, or offers for sale, loan or distribution, any instrument or article, or any recipe, drug or medicine for the prevention of conception or for causing unlawful abortion… 

Note the qualifier “unlawful” before abortion. 

There followed Section 1145 of the New York Penal Law:

“An article or instrument, used or applied by physicians lawfully practicing, or by their direction or prescription, for the cure or prevention of disease, is not an article of indecent or immoral nature or use, within this article. The supplying of such articles to such physicians or by their direction or prescription, is not an offense under this article.”

Comstock and an interviewer had the following exchange in 1915 a few months before his death:

“Do not these laws handicap physicians?” (the interviewer) asked, remembering that this criticism is sometimes made.

“They do not,” replied Mr. Comstock emphatically. “No reputable physician has ever been prosecuted under these laws. Have you ever known of one?” I had not, and he continued, “Only infamous doctors who advertise or send their foul matter by mail. A reputable doctor may tell his patient in his office what is necessary, and a druggist may sell on a doctor’s written prescription drugs which he would not be allowed to sell otherwise.”

This criticism of the laws interfering with doctors is so continually made that I asked again:

“Do the laws ever thwart the doctor’s work; in cases, for instance, where pregnancy would endanger a woman’s life?”

Mr. Comstock replied with the strongest emphasis:

“A doctor is allowed to bring on an abortion in cases where a woman’s life is in danger. And is there anything in these laws that forbids a doctor’s telling a woman that pregnancy must not occur for a certain length of time or at all? Can they not use self-control? Or must they sink to the level of the beasts?”

“But,” I protested, repeating an argument often brought forward, although I felt as if my persistence was somewhat placing me in the ranks of those who desire evil rather than good, “If the parents lack that self-control, the punishment falls upon the child.”

“It does not,” replied Mr. Comstock. “The punishment falls upon the parents. When a man and woman marry, they are responsible for their children. You can’t reform a family in any of these superficial ways. You have to go deep down into their minds and souls. The prevention of conception would work the greatest demoralization. God has set certain natural barriers. If you turn loose the passions and break down that fear, you bring worse disaster than the war. It would debase sacred things, break down the health of women and disseminate a greater curse than the plagues and diseases of Europe.”

Comstock seemed: 1) to permit therapeutic abortion and 2) to believe birth control a worse sin that abortion. 

This was a view shared by the Archbishop of New York Patrick J. Hayes who issued a pastoral letter in 1921, after he had ordered the arrest of my grandmother (Archbishops could do that in 1921):

“To take life after its inception is a horrible crime; but to prevent human life that the Creator is about to bring into being is satanic.” 

My grandmother opened America’s first birth control clinic on October 16, 1916. She was promptly arrested and convicted of violating the New York Comstock law. She appealed her conviction even though she had clearly violated the law. 

Up until my grandmother’s case, the New York Comstock law prevented the distribution of contraceptives or contraceptive information with one exception— doctors could prescribe birth control “for the cure or prevention of disease”. This language was understood to mean that a man could be given a condom when he went to a prostitute so that he could avoid contracting a venereal disease. Birth control could not be given by a physician to be used at home by a man with his wife to prevent pregnancy. The trial judge had in fact stated a woman had no right “to copulate without fear of pregnancy”. My grandmother had argued that women had precisely that right, but that was not the issue before the court. The issues were women’s health and the right of physicians to practice medicine.

My grandmother pointed out the absurdity of the Comstock Law’s double standard—that males were protected by the law’s exception and that females were not—and used the testimony of the women who had flooded the clinic to show that pregnancy had serious health consequences for women and that there were often valid medical reasons for avoiding or postponing pregnancy. After considering the arguments, the all-male New York Court of Appeals affirmed Margaret’s conviction on the grounds that she was a nurse not a doctor and had no doctor with her in the clinic. But at the same time the Court expanded the authority of doctors under the exception to the Comstock law to practice medicine largely as they saw fit. The Court specifically authorized doctors to prescribe contraceptives to a woman when there was a valid health reason for prescribing them. 

The Court said that the exception to the Comstock Law, which permitted physicians to prescribe contraceptives “for the cure or prevention of disease”, was not intended to permit “promiscuous advice to patients irrespective of their condition” but was broad enough to “protect a physician who in good faith gives such help or advice to a married person to cure or prevent disease”. The Court then referred to Webster’s Dictionary for a definition of “disease”: “an alteration of the state of the body, or of some of its organs, interrupting or disturbing the performance of the vital functions, and causing or threatening pain and sickness; illness; sickness; disorder.” 

Without saying so explicitly, the Court had defined pregnancy as a “disease” since in its broadest interpretation pregnancy was an “alteration of the state of the body”. If interpreted more narrowly, a woman needed to have some preexisting medical condition that a pregnancy could aggravate. Under the Court’s decision, promiscuous advice to single men and women was still illegal, but preventive contraceptive advice to married men and women was not.

The opinion in Sanger v. New York (“Sanger”) was a subtle but stunning victory. It was the first crack in the Comstock laws. It breeched the double standard of sexuality that permitted men but not women to enjoy sex without fear of pregnancy. It treated women as human beings with real health needs. It permitted doctors to practice medicine. It opened the door a crack to legitimizing and legalizing birth control. The price for this victory, however, was the medicalization of birth control. On this the Court was firm. Birth control was not a matter for the layperson. It was not a matter for nurses (then mostly female), it was a matter for physicians (then mostly male), and physicians only, a distinction that profoundly irritated my grandmother. And it reiterated that sex and birth control were for married persons only. 

The Sanger case enabled my grandmother to make a new series of arguments in favor of birth control: that having birth control legal and regulated and under physician control meant that it would be safer for women and that when children were planned and properly spaced women, children and society would all benefit. Margaret Sanger reminded audiences of Sadie Sachs and even of her own mother for whom unwanted childbearing was a death sentence. Women and children would not survive unless women could control whether and when they had children. It was to these biological arguments that my grandmother would turn as she began the second phase of her campaign in the state legislatures and in Congress to overturn the Comstock laws. No longer would she emphasize the class or feminist arguments for birth control. She saw these as too limiting in their appeal, especially for men, who she knew had to become supporters of the movement in order for it to progress. These arguments were also offensive to physicians who she now knew she needed to convert to her side. Her arguments would henceforth be mostly biological, medical and social, though her feminist arguments were never far below the surface in the birth control movement, and they resurfaced in the 1960’s and 1970’s as the primary arguments for the legalization of abortion.

Finally, one day in the mid-1930’s, after years of beating her head in seeming futility against the walls of Congress trying to get the federal Comstock law amended to permit the distribution of birth control information through the mails, Margaret was lamenting her lack of progress to Morris Ernst, a famed New York lawyer. Ernst reminded Margaret of her victory 20 years earlier in Sanger v. New York, where she had convinced the highest court in New York to “reinterpret” the New York Comstock law. Ernst believed they could use a similar strategy by brazenly violating the federal Comstock law in order to force a court to reinterpret it. My grandmother promptly asked a Japanese doctor to mail a box of diaphragms to the medical director of her New York clinic, Dr. Hannah Stone. Having been alerted ahead of time by Margaret to do their sworn duty, the U.S. Customs duly seized the package as contraband under the federal Comstock law, and Margaret and Dr. Stone filed suit to get their diaphragms back. The case, entitled the United States v. One Package of Japanese Pessaries (“One Package”), was heard by the Federal Second Circuit Court of Appeals in 1936. As Morris Ernst had predicted, the three-judge panel reinterpreted the federal Comstock law and declared it inapplicable to the importation, sale or mailing of contraceptives on the ground that contraceptives had some legal uses under state laws such as New York’s. Like the Sanger case before it, this was a stunning decision. The One Package court used two judicial sleights of hand to justify its ruling: first it reinterpreted the Sanger case and then it reinterpreted the Comstock law.

The federal Comstock law, unlike the New York Comstock law, had no exception for physicians which permitted them to use the mails to distribute contraceptive information or devices for the cure or prevention of disease. My grandmother and Dr. Stone had clearly violated the law, just as my grandmother had in Sanger. Nonetheless, Ernst introduced into evidence, through Dr. Stone, all the biological, medical, scientific and social research that my grandmother had gathered over the years, proving the health and medical benefits of contraception for women and children. By so doing Ernst gave the court the opportunity to reinterpret the Sanger case.

Doctor Stone testified that she prescribed pessaries “in cases where it would not be desirable for a patient to undertake a pregnancy.” (Emphasis added). Judge Augustus Hand, writing for the Court, accepted Dr. Stone’s testimony as the legal standard announced in and permitted under the Sanger case. Hand stated that “the use of contraceptives was in many cases necessary for the health of women.” These statements, that birth control could be prescribed when a pregnancy was not desirable and that birth control was necessary for the health of women, go far beyond what the Sanger decision in fact permitted. Neither Dr. Stone nor Judge Hand required, prior to the prescription of birth control, as the Sanger case had, that there be a physician finding of a “disease” to “cure or prevent” or even that the patient be married. Thus, Sanger was reinterpreted by Hand to greatly expand the authority of physicians to prescribe birth control. Judge Hand then went on to rule that, even though the federal Comstock law specifically banned articles for preventing conception, the law did not “prevent the importation, sale or carriage by mail of things which might intelligently be employed by the conscientious and competent physicians for the purpose of saving life or promoting the well-being of the patients.” (Emphasis added) Hand was essentially saying that since physicians, under his reinterpretation of Sanger, had so much discretion about the circumstances where they could prescribe birth control, the old law shouldn’t get in the way. The fact that Congress had intended the law to get in the way was disregarded.

The government declined to appeal the One Package decision to the United States Supreme Court. As a result, the One Package case by two clever legal sleights of hand essentially legalized birth control in America—at least at the federal level under physician control. The American Medical Association endorsed birth control within the year. The Sanger and One Package cases together took birth control in less than two decades from being illegal, prior to 1918, to being permitted for disease prevention, broadly defined, to finally being permitted when a pregnancy was not desirable or to promote the well-being of the patient. The Courts that made these rulings did so, not on the basis of feminist arguments or privacy arguments, but on the basis of the individual health and medical benefits of contraception. The Courts based their rulings squarely upon the authority of doctors, indeed the obligation of doctors, to provide care for their patients. Underlying both legal victories were my grandmother’s arguments that reproductive freedom was a biological and social necessity for women, men and children. My grandmother had argued that birth control enabled women to better survive the rigors of childbearing and also gave children a better chance at life, health and survival when they were properly spaced and planned. She argued that birth control was a moral imperative because it provided for a healthier, happier and more prosperous human race. The initial legal battles for birth control were won because the Courts came to realize that permitting the government to prohibit birth control made no sense from a medical and health point of view, and thus from a moral point of view. Birth control was necessary for the survival and health of humanity; government had to get out of the way.

The One Package case was not the only Federal Appeals Court decision on Comstock. Repeatedly, the appeals courts have ruled that the Comstock Law does not prohibit mailing abortion, as well as contraceptive, medications or devices that could be used legally. The courts required that the government prove a seller’s, or mailer’s, intent that the devices or medications be used illegally. Since virtually every state permitted therapeutic abortion as well as other exceptions, this is virtually impossible to prove. Congress accepted these judicial interpretations when it repeatedly amended the Comstock Law. See the Post Office memorandum: https://www.justice.gov/olc/opinion/file/1560596/download.

The Comstock Law was never repealed. It was amended several times, thereby giving its anti-abortion provisions life. An attempt was made in Congress in the 1990s to repeal it, but it failed. Puritanism and the desire to control women’s sexuality remain alive and well. 

Congress in the 1996 amended the Comstock Law in the Communications Decency Act to prevent the dissemination of abortion information on the internet. The Clinton Administration acceded to the law but announced it would not enforce it. I and my Civil Liberties Union colleagues thought this an outrage, and on the day the law was signed by President Clinton, I posted on the internet the hours and locations of the clinics of Planned Parenthood of New York City, of which I was president. The ACLU filed suit on my behalf to overturn the Communications Decency Act. The case, Sanger v. Reno, was heard in Federal District Court in Brooklyn. Our problem was that there was no “case or controversy” for the court to rule on. The government would not enforce the law, and until a government did, there was no case.  Alas our case was dismissed, but our point had been made. Sanger v. Reno, 966 F. Supp. 151 (E.D.N.Y. 1997). The Comstock Law was a dead letter, or so we thought. 

         With the overturn of Roe, the Comstock Law is the weapon of the day to prevent the mailing of abortion pills. If one were to look at the One Package decision as precedent, one could say that the Comstock Law does not apply where a pregnancy or having a child was not desirable or if a physician determined abortion was necessary to promote the well-being of the patient. Further, the government would have to prove intent that the device or medication be used illegally. But these are the days where some judges willfully ignore precedent. 

There are probably older laws still on the books, but none so heinous as Comstock’s. The damage it will do to woman is untold. Poor women, rural women, those who cannot travel to safe states. We will be back to the days of self-induced, dangerous abortion, and back to the days when seeing this led my grandmother to start her crusade. 

weathering

Professor Arline Geronimus developed her theory of “weathering” in 1990. It described the deleterious effects of a racist environment on the health of marginalized peoples, specifically, the effect on infant mortality of blacks versus whites. Previous to her research, it was thought that teen pregnancy was the cause, i.e., giving birth as a teen led to low weight or underdeveloped babies that did not survive. Her research showed the opposite: babies born to Black teens were surviving better than those born to Black women in their 20s. Teen pregnancy was a solution to a racist environment. Opponents of teen pregnancy were aghast.

I wrote about weathering in my book, Beyond Choice, in 2004. 

A few excerpts:

“As Professor Arline T. Geronimus of the University of Michigan has stated: “Fertility-timing varies among populations because of the contingencies members of different populations face in their efforts to provide for the survival and well-being of families.”

“…because of unhealthy living conditions, a sub-standard health system and violence, poor men and women, both minority and white, suffer from higher morbidity and mortality than those with higher incomes who are disproportionately white. Professor Geronimus calls this the “weathering hypothesis”. The weathering hypothesis says that certain groups statistically will “weather”, growing sicker as they age and dying faster than other groups.

“One study by Professor Geronimus in 1999 revealed that poor blacks, who had reached the age of 15, had a relatively low probability of survival until age 65. In Harlem only 37% of black men and 65% of black women who reach age 15 survive until age 65. For black men this represents half the probability of survival to age 65 for whites nationwide. Black girls in Harlem who reach age 15 have the same chance of surviving until age 45 as the average white girl of 15 has of surviving until age 65. Poor blacks get sicker faster and die younger.

“The leading causes of early death in poor communities include diseases of the circulatory system, AIDS, accidents, homicide and cancer. Poverty and race alone do not explain the entire difference in mortality rates. Other factors include crowded living conditions, poor health care, being a victim of crime, living amidst environmental hazards and, as a result of all these factors, experiencing enormous stress. The evidence is clear that many black people in America cannot reasonably expect to live through middle age. Living with this prospect may affect their behavior in a variety of ways, including in risk taking behavior and in reproductive patterns. 

“Studies aiming to confirm the weathering hypothesis have found evidence of a correlation between the average life expectancy in a community and the age at first birth in that community. Generally the lower the life expectancy, the lower the average age of first birth. In one study done in Chicago in 1997 Professors Margo Wilson and Martin Daly of McMaster University found that the median age of women giving birth was 22.6 years in neighborhoods with low life expectancy compared to 27.3 years old in neighborhoods with a longer life expectancy. This finding is in line with of young people, faced with the prospect of a compressed life span, trying to achieve their reproductive goals by accelerating their childbearing. The timing of a young poor woman’s childbearing is, I believe, a decision actively motivated in part by knowledge that her life and the lives of her parents will be shorter and less robust than those of other people. With parenting by not only parents but also grandparents being necessary in poor communities, it is natural for a young woman to have children while her extended family is alive and healthy enough to help care for them and help them grow. 

“Professor Geronimus found that the risk of neonatal death for a black infant increases as a poor, black woman gives birth at older ages, while the risk of neonatal death for a white infant decreases as the white mother gives birth at older ages. The weathering hypothesis says that the effects of social inequality, poverty, poor health and nutrition, stress and other negative environmental circumstances compound with age and have increasingly deleterious effects on fetal and newborn health as a poor, black woman ages and gives birth. 

“Professor Geronimus found that black mothers between the ages of 15-19 were found to have the lowestincidence of low birth weight babies as compared to older black women. For example, the infant mortality rate in Harlem for teens giving birth is 11 deaths per 1000 births. The rate for black women in their 20’s is twice that—22 per 1000. Among whites, mothers in their teens and 30’s experience slightly higher rates of poor birth outcomes than white women in their 20’s. In other words, whites in their 20’s have the best birth outcomes, while the best birth outcomes for blacks is while they are in their late teens. Black women as they age were found to smoke more during pregnancy and have higher rates of hypertension than whites. Black women as they age continue to live more in poverty than white women. Through their young adult years, black women’s health deteriorates more rapidly than white women’s health does, thereby leading to a greater risk of low birth weight babies as black women age. Poor women also generally get less prenatal care than wealthier women. The Geronimus study concluded: “the populations in which early births are most common are those where early births are the lowest risk, raising questions about the social construction of teen childbearing as a universally deleterious behavior.”

“This and other studies suggest that women may consciously or unconsciously time childbirth strategically by taking into account factors that include the status of their own health and their infant’s potential health, as well as the health of those in their kin network who will be helping raise the child. It is arguably a better reproductive strategy for a woman to give birth earlier rather than later in these circumstances. Women know that their premature death will have serious negative consequences for their children. In an environment where life is short it makes evolutionary sense for women to have their children as early as possible.

“Rather than viewing early childbearing as a pathology to be cured, I would argue that it is an adaptive reproductive strategy that is succeeding. In fact, the child of the teen parents is doing reproductively what she should: having children at a time where by her own experience there is a good chance they will survive to have children of their own. The child of teen parents will be a reproductive success if she repeats the pattern and if her children do too. As Geronimus said, “to postpone such goals as childbearing is to risk foregoing them.” 

“There is no one fixed path to reproductive success. Reproductive strategies depend on one’s environment. The environment can encourage a woman to give birth at a certain time and under certain conditions or it may discourage her. Teenagers in poor communities may see a variety of reasons not to postpone childbirth until they are older. They may have fewer choices of men, their health may worsen, and the health of their kin may also. It is also likely that they will give birth to healthier infants if they do so sooner rather than later. The role of her kin network cannot be underestimated. Parents want to be grandparents. They know their time is running short and they want to be around to help raise the child. While there are risks for the teen mother and her child, the families often think these are worth running.”        

I am glad that the scientific and health communities have finally caught up to Dr. Geronimus. See The New York Times, April 18, 2023, p. D7. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/12/well/live/weathering-health-racism-discrimination.html

I most definitely remember that certain of my colleagues were aghast at the sections of my book quoted above. It was as if I were a traitor to the Cause. I rather think I was taking a fresh look at sexual and reproductive behavior in the context of human health, the environment, biology, genes and evolution. We like to use the word “intersectionality” now. There are many elements to intersectionality (i.e. life) that contribute to and affect human behavior, reproductive decisions and strategies, and sexual behavior and health. Putting aside preconceptions and taking a clear look at the facts can help devise strategies to promote human wellbeing.

mating, Family and kinship

Two recent studies amplify my article below on Men.

The Pew Research Center reported that 60% of young men are single, twice the rate for young women. There is in general a decline in marriage, sexuality and relationships for both genders, but men fare worse than women. For under 30s, 63% of men and 34% of women are single. Women are dating and marrying older men and each other. Men are watching social media, video games and porn. Women continue to be choosy and many men don’t make the cut, emotionally, education-wise and financially. The good news is that 30-49 years olds are the least likely group to be single.

Nic Eberstadt and Ashton Verdure of the American Enterprise Institute issued a report on China’s changing family stricture. The long-range effects of the One-Child Policy and reduced family size and son preference are leading to massive changes in the kinship system. Fewer relatives means increased pressure for state support of the elderly. As the society ages, a huge social welfare state is likely, with a depressing effect on economic growth exacerbated by fewer people of working age. The unknown is the effect of only-child, single males in the military on foreign and military policy.

MEN!

Men!

The news media has been aflutter recently with stories (nightmare scenarios in some cases) of population decline in various countries, mostly Asian, with Europe an afterthought – the Italian  birthrate is at 1.3.  When I was younger, Asia was thought of in demographic terms as “teeming”. The worm has turned. China reported the first drop in population in over 60 years since the Not-So-Great Leap Forward (the drop probably occurred a few years ago but was unreported). South Korea and Japan have been losing population, and aging, for several years. Other developed countries around the world have less than a replacement birth rate (about 2.0).  Many have tried government incentives to increase it, without much lasting success.

All this has coincided with the improvement in the status of women in terms of education, jobs, and social status. The improvements for women yet to be achieved are well known, but no longer seem intractable. In Saudi Arabia, women can finally drive. Abortion is increasingly decriminalized (though not in the USA). Women are more independent than ever, making more money than ever, and as such, have more choice in mating than ever, don’t they?

Don’t they?

What of men and their choices? If economy and society are a zero-sum game (they aren’t), men must be relatively worse off than women if women are better off – one gender rises as one falls. Can’t both rise? Men still rule in corporations and government (the Nordics with their female political leadership didn’t get the memo on this). Aren’t both genders rising together in increased prosperity? Can’t we all just get along? One way to start a fierce argument is to try to explain the persistent gender imbalance in wages between men and women. 

A digression — I’m thinking about Russia, or what’s left of it. Who is getting slaughtered in Ukraine? Russian men, the ones who haven’t fled their country anyway. Smart guys. Run and survive to reproduce another day. Estimates say that 200,000 Russians have been killed or wounded so far and perhaps an additional 700,000 have fled the country. Out of about 7.5 million 20–29-year-old males.  Women and children left behind to cope. The Russia birthrate is now about 1.5. It is clearly going further south. I shudder to think how Putin will try to mandate childbearing to refill his army.

I wrote in Beyond Choice about reproductive strategies of women and men. Each gender collectively has one. Each individual has one. Find the right mate, choose strategically (not always consciously), have children that will survive, raise them, and have them in turn reproduce. Basic biology. This isn’t a haphazard process. It may not be conscious. Quality versus quantity in a mate? Short term relationship or long term? There is competition for mates. Who chooses? Who gets chosen? Are there rules to the game?

Women need and do control the mating process in free societies (arranged marriage is still the rule in many not-so free societies).  They have a greater investment in childbearing and need to chose strategically. And contracept strategically, which thanks to our work, they can in most societies. And abort strategically. Potential resources brought by a mate to the partnership may be key – men’s resources. Children are expensive. A mother’s time is expensive in terms of opportunity costs. Are men now less able to provide what is needed – be it time or money – in these expensive times? Do women care? With women’s increased education and earning capacity, need they still “marry up” as the social scientists call it? Can’t they carry on alone? Need they marry at all? Does it still take two to tango? 

Clearly not. 70% of births in Latin America are to single women. The OECD average is over 40%. In Japan, South Korea and China the rates are miniscule. These same countries now are experiencing a population drop. Social systems and culture have not evolved to a new economic reality. China is now permitting births to single women and IVF for them too. 

The New York Times had a recent article on men and fertility decline (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/15/opinion/fertility-decline.html) reporting on the work of Vegard Skirbekk. He found that women in the most gender-egalitarian countries still “tend to prefer men with relatively high income and education.” They do not prefer men with substance abuse issues or who are prone to violence. Men dropping out of the workforce in the Covid era is an issue in the US. In 1990, 72% of men were employed. In 2022, 65% were. Opioids and prescription med issues among men are more prevalent than among women. 

China has to deal with a severe gender imbalance given the years of son preference and the One Child Policy. Rarer women should have the pickings. But women don’t have the pickings in the job market and, seeing men as unreliable providers, want to keep their precarious jobs and forgo childbearing, or limit it or defer it at least. Incentives like baby bonuses and parental leave won’t solve this problem. 

Some reports quote women complaining that men don’t help with raising a child and keep working hard to provide. Then there are the men without work, or steady work. Or who are unreliable. It seems men can’t win here—do they work too hard or not hard enough? What do they think about all this? How about a restructuring of the economic system to make earning not an all-consuming task yet rewarding enough for a couple with children? That sounds Sovietistic and totally unworkable in most countries. The realities are that the high cost of education is real, the gig economy unstable. 

France recently went into an uproar when, given its low birthrate and increasing seniors, it wanted to increase the pension age to 64. Population and an economy have to be more than a Ponzi scheme to produce children to pay Social Security for their grandparents. A drop in the world population isn’t the end of the world. Didn’t it happen in Europe during the Black Death, which killed perhaps half the population.? Of course, people then thought it was the end of the world.

And what of women’s choices? Are they still constrained because of the status of men? Are women unwillingly forgoing children? If so, that is no better than being forced to have them. Are women’s aspirations victim to the new economic realities? Can’t and won’t new reproductive strategies evolve? Men and women have always reproduced in changing environments. The most adaptable survive. Isn’t that Darwin? Men and women will adapt. It may take a while, but they will. 

Governments and commentators will fret in the meantime – their economies will crash, seniors will starve, single people will live lonely lives. Governments will get into the business – they already are – of purchasing their own descendants through childbearing incentives. The results are meagre and the costs high. Less planning and government intervention and more individual innovation are what is needed. Though mandating a 4-day work week (and 7 hours max a day) might be a good start. And maybe with fewer people polluting and consuming we can save what is left of the environment. 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/17/china-birth-rate-population-decline-global/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/17/china-population-shrinking-decline-crisis/

https://www.europeandatajournalism.eu/eng/News/Data-news/Fertility-rates-in-the-EU-are-plummeting-with-few-exceptions